CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x433741dd6d43bacc24b8ee7593fd7f18f818324d1004dcc3b18a93d8f007da57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof largadosypelados, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9827…e57cbacked BESTIA | 64c | 1,045$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed largadosypelados | 6c | 1,019$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…f047backed largadosypelados | 14c | 971.43$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BESTIA | 75c | 948.69$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked largadosypelados | 47c | 700$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed largadosypelados | 43c | 691.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 76c | 548.99$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked largadosypelados | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked BESTIA | 54c | 373.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…e030backed BESTIA | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed BESTIA | 52c | 262.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed largadosypelados | 50c | 200.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked BESTIA | 68c | 180.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed BESTIA | 52c | 177.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed BESTIA | 56c | 171.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 56c | 170.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked largadosypelados | 41c | 146.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…deddbacked largadosypelados | 49c | 93.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BESTIA | 76c | 87.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BESTIA | 55c | 86.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked largadosypelados | 48c | 80.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed largadosypelados | 32c | 79.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BESTIA | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BESTIA | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked largadosypelados | 34c | 70.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked largadosypelados | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed BESTIA | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed largadosypelados | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BESTIA | 66c | 34.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed BESTIA | 58c | 34.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BESTIA | 72c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked BESTIA | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked BESTIA | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.