South American Leagues · resolved market
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434862ae5cd66453da2a5706c4b20c83a0e8ed9275af863bf21a8eee05dd9046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 40c | 23,903$9,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,342.75 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 6,586$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 5,934$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.4 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 3,915$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.06 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 60c | 2,632$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.78 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 824.95$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked No | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked No | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 438$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 309.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 60c | 246.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 59c | 203.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 187.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 42c | 184.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 58c | 132.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 119$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 42c | 116.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 60c | 98.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 75.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 44c | 75.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…9fdebacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 58c | 50.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked No | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…a6c0backed Yes | 37c | 39.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 41c | 37.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 59c | 31.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed No | 60c | 29.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 28.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 51c | 25.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed No | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…8e80backed No | 60c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 59c | 21.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 63c | 20.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…4a78backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 63c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 75c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.