South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3443c65e561a78519c60b94a5b3b8f2ae835b958bba55e22670c1fe938bfce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 728.01$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 22c | 436.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 275.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 30c | 247.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 233.4$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 199.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 164.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 24c | 95.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 30c | 92.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 58.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 50.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 48.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 26c | 44.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 71c | 29.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 69c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 19.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 74c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 72c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-06?Yes won
- Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. América de Cali end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.