Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43811fd67306ed5f2284863c4ad189660abbe13c66546813167103c5a38eb8bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandatoryof Mandatory, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Mandatory | 54c | 2,943$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Galions | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Galions | 46c | 1,199$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.21 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mandatory | 55c | 840$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Galions | 20c | 536.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…1b45backed Galions | 46c | 419.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Mandatory | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Mandatory | 62c | 232.88$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions | 38c | 225$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Galions | 46c | 215$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Galions | 46c | 106.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Galions | 44c | 93.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Galions | 27c | 85.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…ed48backed Galions | 45c | 64.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Galions | 43c | 63.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Galions | 42c | 57.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Mandatory | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Galions | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Mandatory | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galions | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Galions | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…9d77backed Mandatory | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Mandatory | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions (BO3)this page
- Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions - Map 1 WinnerMandatory won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs Galions - Map 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.