TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,616 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over47c93,423$43,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,474.332934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c21,740$12,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,654.075,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under53c17,856$9,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,392.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under54c8,543$4,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.781942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c8,400$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,89826749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c5,954$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.72,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under54c5,590$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c5,357$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6103030%9 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1504946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c1,988$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.361,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under54c1,961$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.113040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+82.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69010650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over33c1,249$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.6710522.9%24 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over15c735$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2510228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over47c399.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c357.13$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5622555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over18c283.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113743.8%60 W · 77 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under53c271.82$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.766259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under54c261.19$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8647155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11512147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1156048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006139.3%24 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9818543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c194.42$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.022646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under53c192.72$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.714153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under53c185.11$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.951241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under54c175$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.54744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c175$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.59744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Under53c168.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.67548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under53c145.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.616355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.48951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.46653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over46c131.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0442625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.54353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.514349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.57250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Under54c122$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.121533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c121.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.131,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c121.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.41,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under54c120.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.233560%21 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.28747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.210945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.34429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over48c104.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1729745.1%134 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under54c92.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Under53c81.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.474759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Under54c62.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.751553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under54c62.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under53c60.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.223256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.67553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over47c59.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.895949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over40c47.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.034738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1615549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under53c39.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e32…449bbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+179.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.024746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.022050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.022850%14 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under53c36.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0412551.2%64 W · 61 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under59c27.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.062356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bf…5c19backed Under53c25.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over48c24.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6819436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x723a…c574backed Over42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under52c23.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.