Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43c578ead3de8fde39d884f1435b215adca5446b6192a282249e293fde2e16b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,616 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 47c | 93,423$43,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,474.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 21,740$12,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,654.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 53c | 17,856$9,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,392.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 54c | 8,543$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 8,400$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 5,954$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.7 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 54c | 5,590$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 53c | 5,357$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 1,988$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 54c | 1,961$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 33c | 1,249$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.67 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 15c | 735$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 357.13$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 18c | 283.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 53c | 271.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 261.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 194.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 192.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Under | 53c | 185.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 53c | 168.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 53c | 145.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 131.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 54c | 122$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 121.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 121.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 54c | 120.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed Over | 48c | 104.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Under | 53c | 81.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Under | 54c | 62.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 54c | 62.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 53c | 60.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 40c | 47.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 53c | 39.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…449bbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 53c | 36.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 59c | 27.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…5c19backed Under | 53c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 48c | 24.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…c574backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 52c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.