Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43df76a8c85c52b59089f426742e8f3cdc9d8d421b9639b761e5bbaebca0fb48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 8c | 3,181$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.34 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 72c | 1,614$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.66 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 76c | 787.9$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 28c | 559.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.73 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 517.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 28c | 504$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 29c | 388.14$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 363.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 6c | 235$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 31c | 82.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 31c | 44.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 31c | 39.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 70c | 28.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.