Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg (Doubles): Beckley/Caripi vs Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ed34c41a34a304ca7226525a504fe799515c1a4a8482cbdd2371c180e8dcab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyanof Beckley/Caripi, Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1903…f674backed Beckley/Caripi | 32c | 777.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…41efbacked Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 65c | 225.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 287 | 51.6%148 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…968dbacked Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 65c | 103.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Beckley/Caripi | 35c | 102$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 730 | 45.3%331 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…421cbacked Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 72c | 66.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…666ebacked Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 71c | 65.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 66c | 56.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 411 | 61.6%253 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 66c | 56.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Beckley/Caripi | 35c | 40.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4,081 | 45.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L | -30.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 65c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…15f8backed Kalyanpur/Nedunchezhiyan | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.