Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43f89efdc0b9170afb60e740e114446a886040da04b8d394d899602fad1cbe05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 23c | 2,353$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.56 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 1,602$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.47 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 896.88$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.63 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 669.47$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 54c | 579.76$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 20c | 299$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 138.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 123.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 15c | 97.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 43c | 93.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 49c | 90.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 51c | 70.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 62.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 65c | 53.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 78c | 36.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 60c | 30.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…bdd0backed Under | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Under | 78c | 18.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.