Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Iga Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4410aca3a0fc9b5f50da0ac3232fe3d7796effe673697e4de80e63c3f850e2b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swiatekof Inglis, Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Inglis | 0c | 35,339$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Inglis | 4c | 12,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Inglis | 3c | 6,571$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Inglis | 1c | 5,245$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Inglis | 3c | 4,521$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Inglis | 2c | 3,626$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Inglis | 4c | 2,566$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…ed80backed Inglis | 3c | 2,467$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Inglis | 3c | 2,258$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Inglis | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Inglis | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Inglis | 1c | 1,052$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Inglis | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Inglis | 3c | 920.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked Inglis | 3c | 717.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Inglis | 3c | 708.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Inglis | 2c | 685.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Inglis | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Inglis | 2c | 511.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Inglis | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Inglis | 3c | 451.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…110cbacked Inglis | 3c | 366.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Inglis | 3c | 359.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Inglis | 4c | 268.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Iga Swiatekthis page
- Inglis vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Inglis vs. Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.