MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44402dbcf5890d641ec00a4fdc9a20ff3ae2bdc77ab7bc00acc1b096a1409d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Doosan Bears, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 40c | 1,577$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.14 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked LG Twins | 47c | 1,274$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 717.68$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.08 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 687.95$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.55 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 603.38$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 55c | 412.82$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.82 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked LG Twins | 72c | 305.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 277.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 274.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed LG Twins | 61c | 184.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 183.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 64c | 137.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Doosan Bears | 11c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 115.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed LG Twins | 58c | 112.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked LG Twins | 43c | 90.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 54c | 88.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked LG Twins | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 73.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…d38abacked LG Twins | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 58.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…3856backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed LG Twins | 53c | 52.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…401fbacked LG Twins | 56c | 48.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Doosan Bears | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Doosan Bears | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 41.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 41.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 40.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 58c | 40.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 40.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 54c | 39.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked LG Twins | 39c | 34.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked LG Twins | 56c | 34.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked LG Twins | 55c | 32.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked LG Twins | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 30.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed LG Twins | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 28.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 23.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.