Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Virtanen vs Griekspoor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44cc7190f7f2e6b331444433958acffe4017f952dce50b46eb108c2cf9a64939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Virtanen, Griekspoor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99fb…210ebacked Virtanen | 23c | 699.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Griekspoor | 68c | 682.59$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Griekspoor | 58c | 598.09$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.06 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Virtanen | 46c | 495.37$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Griekspoor | 54c | 422.74$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Virtanen | 43c | 351.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…e855backed Virtanen | 21c | 345$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…c205backed Virtanen | 35c | 222.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Virtanen | 42c | 168.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Griekspoor | 64c | 110.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Griekspoor | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…ed4abacked Griekspoor | 60c | 93.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Virtanen | 47c | 73.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Virtanen | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Griekspoor | 53c | 56.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Griekspoor | 63c | 52.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…4f70backed Virtanen | 39c | 36.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtanen | 41c | 33.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Griekspoor | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Virtanen vs Griekspoorthis page
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Otto Virtanen vs Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor won
- Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Virtanen (+1.5)Griekspoor won
- Virtanen vs. Griekspoor: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.