Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f3d3ea3744589c407b38fa4bc27feae1be11f6457be177c1999899b6ed8834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof REKONIX, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed REKONIX | 56c | 118,740$66,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,044.8 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 95,845$42,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,673.18 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 14,371$6,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,728.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 4,090$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.8 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 13c | 3,993$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.77 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 3,679$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked REKONIX | 49c | 2,721$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.37 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 2,229$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.39 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 2,147$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.61 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed REKONIX | 38c | 1,842$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.5 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 1,643$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.42 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 1,597$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.64 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 1,593$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.84 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 5c | 1,063$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 956.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.95 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 808.07$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.95 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 33c | 632.03$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 499.57$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 396.71$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 353.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 305.95$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 27c | 296.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 289.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked REKONIX | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked REKONIX | 38c | 243.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked REKONIX | 41c | 226.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 204.76$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 185.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 108.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked REKONIX | 31c | 107.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 103$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 24c | 102.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked REKONIX | 30c | 98.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 32c | 93.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 86.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 79.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 77.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked REKONIX | 49c | 71.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…861fbacked REKONIX | 53c | 71.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked REKONIX | 26c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 56.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed REKONIX | 30c | 49.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 41.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 40.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed REKONIX | 42c | 38.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed REKONIX | 49c | 35.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed REKONIX | 32c | 35.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…29f0backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 34.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 30.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…160fbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 28.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked REKONIX | 48c | 28.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…0b07backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 17.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.