Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x866d4c6fb816f1d141756883697e824282971d4bffd99886c8405c5e510d76ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof REKONIX, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed REKONIX | 49c | 32,142$15,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,897.44 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 8,863$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.46 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 3,625$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.72 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 3,432$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.03 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 2,987$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.18 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 2,583$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.44 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 1,353$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.95 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 1,290$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.91 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 1,116$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.97 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 51c | 1,087$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.2 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.84 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 41c | 1,060$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 1,040$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.77 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 1,038$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.54 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked REKONIX | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 41c | 982$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.04 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 912.43$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 6c | 861.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 820.56$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.97 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed REKONIX | 53c | 782.06$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.59 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 750.39$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 722.85$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 52c | 678.82$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.88 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed REKONIX | 47c | 638.91$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.48 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 559.87$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.91 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 49c | 473.46$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 469$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed REKONIX | 57c | 459.23$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 443.26$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.18 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 393.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 34c | 385.12$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 371.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 327.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 317.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 300.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 298.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 50c | 260.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 224.48$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 214.37$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 205.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 186.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed REKONIX | 20c | 183.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed REKONIX | 20c | 183.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 183.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked REKONIX | 22c | 178.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…110abacked REKONIX | 60c | 162.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 147.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…23c2backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 147$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 41c | 145.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 138.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 128.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 123.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 114.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 98.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 94.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 86.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked REKONIX | 39c | 81.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 39c | 79.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 68.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked REKONIX | 55c | 63.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…e224backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked REKONIX | 37c | 53.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed REKONIX | 65c | 50.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 46.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 51c | 43.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 51c | 43.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 41.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…0b07backed REKONIX | 52c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 26.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 47c | 24.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86a…644dbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 24.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked REKONIX | 52c | 24.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…7a73backed REKONIX | 54c | 19.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.