Lol · resolved market
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x454516d0bcd0c5c97cbf4f77e5321fecaf5379ec019f0e373c360e9a827fb5d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Movistar KOI Fénix, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked GIANTX iTero | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -96.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed GIANTX iTero | 30c | 1,764$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.23 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 74c | 1,171$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked GIANTX iTero | 26c | 691.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed GIANTX iTero | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 72c | 494.56$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 73c | 279.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GIANTX iTero | 29c | 252.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 79c | 189.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 61c | 169.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 69c | 149.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 67c | 149.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked GIANTX iTero | 36c | 139.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked GIANTX iTero | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed GIANTX iTero | 32c | 61.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GIANTX iTero | 28c | 49.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.