TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix, GIANTX iTero
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd4a4…a73ebacked GIANTX iTero1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50651.5%1 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-96.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix76c1,312$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.911,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GIANTX iTero24c859.58$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.592,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix76c749.99$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1762158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed GIANTX iTero5c726.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.611,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…5442backed GIANTX iTero25c564.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.94560%27 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed GIANTX iTero16c520.01$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1569841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix70c519.96$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.271,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed GIANTX iTero19c517.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.031,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed GIANTX iTero29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked GIANTX iTero18c458.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.131,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix76c393.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed GIANTX iTero23c316$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.11,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked GIANTX iTero29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8718747.1%88 W · 99 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7717057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed GIANTX iTero30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c175.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.581,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0805…1d14backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix66c151.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6437252.2%194 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked GIANTX iTero15c126.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3133263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed GIANTX iTero21c81.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9852743.5%229 W · 298 L+32.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GIANTX iTero26c71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa233…af5bbacked GIANTX iTero30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010639.6%42 W · 64 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed GIANTX iTero19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.175150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1275142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c39.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0610654.7%58 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed GIANTX iTero29c36.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551,24752.8%659 W · 588 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ea…9d52backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.759961.6%61 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d33…1192backed GIANTX iTero31c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5412241.8%51 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ad…0e38backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix72c27.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8817953.6%96 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb7…fdb5backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix68c22.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.12875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.