Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Slavia Praha beat PAOK?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x459cb01c551d3ed9a8bc02bb805bd7aa66db11da2416dea98be956d16c3dacd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 35c | 1,200$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 64c | 530.64$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 65c | 389.71$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 318$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 66c | 205$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 34c | 191.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 66c | 114$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 35c | 48.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…9c44backed Yes | 36c | 34.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…a2dcbacked Yes | 38c | 34.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa978…0902backed Yes | 36c | 33.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…78c0backed No | 63c | 32.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1205…58fabacked No | 62c | 30.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…a953backed No | 65c | 28.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…bfdbbacked No | 67c | 27.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a3…dd0cbacked Yes | 37c | 27.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…e284backed No | 63c | 27.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa169…0ebabacked No | 64c | 25.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…cd76backed No | 62c | 25.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…100ebacked No | 63c | 23.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d5…4927backed No | 64c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…71dabacked No | 68c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…8ca5backed No | 62c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slavia Praha beat PAOK?this page
- Will PAOK beat Slavia Praha?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.