CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Revise vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c152275a017f8f7b4dc494cf66f862246862529290c670833c40bb9b0922fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reviseof Revise, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bebop | 45c | 2,035$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.67 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bebop | 39c | 1,808$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bebop | 46c | 1,774$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed Revise | 50c | 1,473$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…523dbacked Revise | 45c | 1,100$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.04 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed Revise | 55c | 624.2$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.82 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Revise | 62c | 534.35$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…bea1backed Revise | 48c | 410$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bebop | 48c | 356.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…c095backed Revise | 48c | 257.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Revise | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Revise | 50c | 197.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Revise | 50c | 196.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…29e0backed Revise | 36c | 147.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bebop | 36c | 138.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Revise | 41c | 103$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…7db2backed Revise | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Revise | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Revise | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 64c | 28.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bebop | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Revise | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Revise | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Revise | 62c | 18.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs Bebop (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageRevise won
- Counter-Strike: Revise vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerRevise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.