Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ed883876774f90b7ee7ba650edfce182bd92037b6697db6bd7d5edc90f2b56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 74c | 2,301$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,657$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 80c | 770.65$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 689.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 73c | 651.03$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 26c | 619.04$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 25c | 440$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 366.56$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 314.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 239.23$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 167.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 119.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 26c | 115.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 108.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 100.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 89.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 26c | 83.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 74c | 79.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 16c | 75.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-11?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.