Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UIC Flames vs. Evansville Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46143f003bd0a4440fee4bde2d625e374a1840cae139dc4f0914e7c629935650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof UIC Flames, Evansville Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Evansville Aces | 21c | 776.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed UIC Flames | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Evansville Aces | 23c | 563$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…a1babacked UIC Flames | 76c | 506.58$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Evansville Aces | 24c | 362.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed UIC Flames | 76c | 330$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Evansville Aces | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames | 77c | 281.41$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Evansville Aces | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UIC Flames | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UIC Flames | 77c | 149.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UIC Flames | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed UIC Flames | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 90.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed UIC Flames | 78c | 81.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UIC Flames | 75c | 80.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eaa2backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 66.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 63.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked UIC Flames | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Evansville Aces | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Evansville Aces | 25c | 56.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Evansville Aces | 25c | 54.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked UIC Flames | 78c | 52.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked UIC Flames | 76c | 46.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed UIC Flames | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked UIC Flames | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed UIC Flames | 78c | 24.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed UIC Flames | 79c | 23.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UIC Flames | 77c | 22.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked UIC Flames | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed UIC Flames | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed UIC Flames | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UIC Flames vs. Evansville Acesthis page
- Spread: UIC Flames (-8.5)UIC Flames won
- UIC Flames vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.