WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x468e7e6e3dd37527b29a06ad18ab7c5bf24850b9f0f5599aa5caec7fde16961f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Sparks, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mystics | 39c | 3,296$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.65 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Sparks | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sparks | 43c | 2,874$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.64 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 41c | 2,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mystics | 55c | 2,455$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.83 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mystics | 73c | 1,726$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.15 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sparks | 59c | 1,612$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Sparks | 29c | 873.48$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Sparks | 61c | 825.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sparks | 17c | 813$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mystics | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mystics | 74c | 637.8$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sparks | 18c | 536.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sparks | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Mystics | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sparks | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sparks | 56c | 425.9$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Sparks | 59c | 421.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Sparks | 22c | 351.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mystics | 38c | 348.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sparks | 31c | 327.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mystics | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Mystics | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 25c | 282$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sparks | 61c | 270.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…bee1backed Mystics | 78c | 188.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Sparks | 59c | 186.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Sparks | 11c | 176.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Sparks | 22c | 176$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Sparks | 60c | 166.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Sparks | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mystics | 39c | 151.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mystics | 68c | 143.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mystics | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mystics | 41c | 93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Sparks | 57c | 87.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sparks | 59c | 85.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Sparks | 61c | 82.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sparks | 33c | 62.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Sparks | 25c | 54.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Sparks | 27c | 46.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Mystics | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…60fbbacked Mystics | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mystics | 40c | 36.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sparks | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…3d68backed Sparks | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Mystics | 41c | 25.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…fe10backed Mystics | 57c | 22.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.