Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. North Dakota State Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469176ceedebdd6703512f80e294a914c000625f23a22ad90450da31f650c722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Irvine Anteatersof UC Irvine Anteaters, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee14…8055backed North Dakota State Bison | 42c | 4,497$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.98 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 2,301$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.56 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 55c | 2,177$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.94 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 2,045$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.89 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota State Bison | 45c | 1,033$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 977.48$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.67 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 942.21$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.53 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Dakota State Bison | 46c | 706.85$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.51 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 611.23$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.77 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Dakota State Bison | 46c | 600.8$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked North Dakota State Bison | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 42c | 446.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 415$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.95 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 62c | 284.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed North Dakota State Bison | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 204.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed North Dakota State Bison | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 77c | 185$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 73c | 158$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked North Dakota State Bison | 31c | 155.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 34c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed North Dakota State Bison | 34c | 135.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 34c | 127.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 59c | 122.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 62c | 103.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 35c | 99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 85.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked North Dakota State Bison | 42c | 79.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 71.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed North Dakota State Bison | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota State Bison | 25c | 65.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed North Dakota State Bison | 45c | 64.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed North Dakota State Bison | 44c | 62.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed North Dakota State Bison | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…c482backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed North Dakota State Bison | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 22.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.