MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469366a3410197b02d7250fc6137f30ced82b5c8cf87cfebd24399ac8eb47738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Cardinals, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 56c | 7,792$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.97 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 57c | 5,270$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Cardinals | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cardinals | 44c | 4,922$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.6 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Rays | 57c | 3,850$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,288$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.72 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…56dfbacked Cardinals | 46c | 1,715$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…939fbacked Rays | 54c | 1,715$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 55c | 1,399$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.55 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,390$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.59 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,351$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.93 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 55c | 1,172$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.34 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Rays | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 7c | 890.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 35c | 874.82$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.62 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 43c | 871$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.53 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 62c | 833.39$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cardinals | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cardinals | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 45c | 683.48$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.57 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 45c | 632.67$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 43c | 582$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Cardinals | 6c | 508.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Cardinals | 44c | 495.45$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Rays | 57c | 494.74$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 13c | 493.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals | 23c | 435.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rays | 55c | 406.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Rays | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Cardinals | 45c | 334.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 45c | 332.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rays | 56c | 298$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 43c | 259.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rays | 54c | 250.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rays | 56c | 244.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cardinals | 43c | 234$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 45c | 224.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cardinals | 46c | 215.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Cardinals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Rays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Cardinals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Cardinals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…c18bbacked Rays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…f811backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…41babacked Rays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…bfe7backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Raysthis page
- Cardinals vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Rays (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.