Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469e31646b4e22a810b33be99090c0a2c4cd8c4f1222a7022edeb2c88c9a6e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Rune Eaters, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 61c | 1,894$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.26 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,266$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.28 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 1,207$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.95 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 820.8$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 59c | 759.95$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.31 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Power Rangers | 58c | 599.98$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 484.19$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Power Rangers | 71c | 405.65$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 291.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 246.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…26eabacked Power Rangers | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 122.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 104.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers | 58c | 67.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 49.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 45.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 36.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Power Rangers | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Power Rangers | 59c | 27.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Power Rangers | 57c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Power Rangers | 60c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Power Rangers | 60c | 18.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.