Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb18fddae03db162deee7a30fdd8aead5ed2b72de41a3f719fcb44bc8d225c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,747$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.65 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 740.7$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.73 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Power Rangers | 44c | 649.9$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Power Rangers | 64c | 647.06$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.99 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 616.35$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Power Rangers | 54c | 440.93$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 420.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Power Rangers | 69c | 352.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 42c | 265.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Power Rangers | 38c | 212.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Power Rangers | 25c | 178.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…9553backed Power Rangers | 45c | 172.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Power Rangers | 25c | 142.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…26eabacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 136.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 57.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 57.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers | 39c | 51.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 42.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 31.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Power Rangers | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 25.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.