CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46a4e31538c6ba1f15ac846c189b6e6324f23184d2da9d9befc7d006b7a481e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof INOX Division, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3936…6e40backed INOX Division | 2c | 4,655$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +340.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed G2 Ares | 67c | 2,890$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.69 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked INOX Division | 45c | 1,443$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.11 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed INOX Division | 33c | 804.59$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked INOX Division | 48c | 555.63$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 50c | 508.41$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.55 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked INOX Division | 34c | 238.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed INOX Division | 69c | 169.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 28c | 146.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 135.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 24c | 115$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Ares | 43c | 100.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed G2 Ares | 28c | 95.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed INOX Division | 45c | 84.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked INOX Division | 58c | 81.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed INOX Division | 38c | 75.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 29c | 64.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 21c | 62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed G2 Ares | 41c | 52.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 22c | 49.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked INOX Division | 35c | 43.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed G2 Ares | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked INOX Division | 50c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked INOX Division | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.