Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City beat Tottenham Hotspur?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bc12191bb3166a590cd8bae1d2557f6b88cc6c3a152505d027a6d9251d4b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 19c | 8,105$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.57 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,664$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed Yes | 5c | 3,129$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 20c | 2,865$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.66 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfff4…2b03backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…2adcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…3664backed Yes | 20c | 748.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 13c | 552$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 18c | 510$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 20c | 326.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da9…f702backed Yes | 24c | 318.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…9b75backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…144abacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…b978backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…fc4cbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 17c | 180$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Yes | 25c | 177.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 20c | 170.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 16c | 168.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 15c | 120.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…b61dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…fa70backed Yes | 19c | 82.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…33efbacked No | 80c | 28.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…9a06backed No | 80c | 12.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City beat Tottenham Hotspur?this page
- Will Leicester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur beat Leicester City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.