Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3f883f6d287af99188f654ee10dc9c8ebe43fdbff9a08dbd18b25bc87148dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 6c | 10,841$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.59 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 78c | 4,355$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.53 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 22c | 3,121$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.05 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 23c | 1,825$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.09 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 38c | 1,353$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.84 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…34dcbacked Yes | 22c | 762.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 70c | 420$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Yes | 62c | 400.3$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…fb9ebacked No | 80c | 260$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…d90abacked No | 80c | 237.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 21c | 226.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…fc4cbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…3d3abacked No | 80c | 135$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 22c | 134.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f99…a109backed No | 80c | 132.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 127.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…13cabacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 16c | 101.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 60c | 99.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…e3c5backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…b490backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…a9ebbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City beat Tottenham Hotspur?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur beat Leicester City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.