CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bedec4b6c4fab8f1d9f7033176ee1fff221d1fa2239b70dc4c8e95ff7306f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof METANOIA WOLVES, MEIA NOITE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed MEIA NOITE | 48c | 631.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MEIA NOITE | 57c | 297.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 290$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MEIA NOITE | 39c | 213$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 209.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MEIA NOITE | 57c | 173.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 54c | 168.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed MEIA NOITE | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 147.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 121.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed MEIA NOITE | 67c | 112.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 66c | 98.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked MEIA NOITE | 33c | 96.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MEIA NOITE | 22c | 78.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 61.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…16a0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 56.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 37.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MEIA NOITE | 46c | 32.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked MEIA NOITE | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked MEIA NOITE | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 78c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked MEIA NOITE | 60c | 16.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 PlayoffsMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 WinnerMEIA NOITE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.