CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01a44b7de71ab39289d714848f5cf83d629119cadd21f0ecd397fad8eb1877d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MEIA NOITEof METANOIA WOLVES, MEIA NOITE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 43c | 2,487$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.5 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MEIA NOITE | 56c | 2,082$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.7 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MEIA NOITE | 51c | 1,643$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.35 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 804.87$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.76 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MEIA NOITE | 50c | 785.66$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.38 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 579.25$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.24 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 553.32$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.79 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MEIA NOITE | 53c | 474.03$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MEIA NOITE | 50c | 338.16$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.66 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MEIA NOITE | 46c | 293.66$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 278.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 204 | 36.8%75 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MEIA NOITE | 52c | 273$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MEIA NOITE | 75c | 215.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed MEIA NOITE | 45c | 203.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 79c | 201.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MEIA NOITE | 41c | 193.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MEIA NOITE | 51c | 186.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 179.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked MEIA NOITE | 64c | 169.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 157.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 148.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MEIA NOITE | 66c | 121$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 120.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 101.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed MEIA NOITE | 25c | 87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 75.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked MEIA NOITE | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 336 | 58.6%197 W · 139 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed MEIA NOITE | 47c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked MEIA NOITE | 43c | 66.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MEIA NOITE | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked MEIA NOITE | 54c | 50.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MEIA NOITE | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked MEIA NOITE | 66c | 31.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 170 | 68.2%116 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed MEIA NOITE | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed MEIA NOITE | 67c | 28.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MEIA NOITE | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 PlayoffsMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MEIA NOITE - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.