TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Pablo Fornals be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc22c…9c02backed Yes41c1,536$634 inLost-$633.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0d…9ad2backed No60c597.74$360 inWon+$237.742623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No51c443.5$228 inWon+$215.2554450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed No67c300.74$202 inWon+$98.496965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b4d…4f90backed Yes48c230.04$110 inLost-$109.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No55c219.51$120 inWon+$99.6929338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed68…3555backed Yes58c172.68$100 inLost-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes25c106.8$27 inLost-$26.7313044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4877…e0a3backed No55c100$55 inWon+$45.52729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No45c97.74$44 inWon+$53.3942336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed No49c92.22$45 inWon+$47.031560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes46c48.87$22 inLost-$22.3742737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No55c48.56$27 inWon+$21.8521837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f15…4754backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4c…6a76backed No63c35.08$22 inWon+$13.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.