CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fc4bd6598f592a3dd0c3320b0ce08d1122c002bd9a1c8c1bbd7e2e32a43fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 719.09$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.37 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 328.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 320.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 315.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 310.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Fluxo W7M | 57c | 300.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 297.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Fluxo W7M | 70c | 143.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 137.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 131.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…d4adbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 120.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 105.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 98.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fluxo W7M | 78c | 81.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 81.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 65.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 50.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 28c | 47.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 47.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Fluxo W7M | 65c | 45.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…8c5fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 44.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 34c | 34.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 33.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 30.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 28.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…ab4dbacked Fluxo W7M | 71c | 27.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Fluxo W7M | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M | 73c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fluxo W7M | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.