Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47410e1a7653c16a8b65f906657139479b98de7a415901f91abd9c47088f00f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beşiktaş Esportsof Beşiktaş Esports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Misa Esports | 52c | 1,140$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.74 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 994.47$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.4 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Beşiktaş Esports | 33c | 448.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.34 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Beşiktaş Esports | 55c | 304.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 1,503 | 46.5%699 W · 804 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 12c | 285.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 1,284 | 32.1%412 W · 872 L | -67.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 237.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Beşiktaş Esports | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 89.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Misa Esports | 55c | 86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1,386 | 47.3%655 W · 731 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Misa Esports | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 37c | 57.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 54.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Misa Esports | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Misa Esports | 32c | 44.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed Misa Esports | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Misa Esports | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Misa Esports | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Misa Esports | 51c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Misa Esports | 67c | 25.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group ABeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.