Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74857ca79b50fa1a10026595726931df6d223fc73beffe00c736465ae35d1434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beşiktaş Esportsof Beşiktaş Esports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Beşiktaş Esports | 69c | 2,590$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.8 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Misa Esports | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports | 46c | 2,203$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.2 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 53c | 1,850$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.81 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Misa Esports | 4c | 1,041$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Beşiktaş Esports | 66c | 678.25$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 60c | 535.6$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.24 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Misa Esports | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Beşiktaş Esports | 33c | 447.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.67 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Misa Esports | 46c | 290.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Beşiktaş Esports | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Misa Esports | 33c | 250.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Misa Esports | 48c | 249.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 18c | 213.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Misa Esports | 22c | 181.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Misa Esports | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Beşiktaş Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Beşiktaş Esports | 67c | 91.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 89.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 53c | 87.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Misa Esports | 26c | 71.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Beşiktaş Esports | 51c | 58.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…0deabacked Beşiktaş Esports | 67c | 51.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Misa Esports | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 35c | 44.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 37c | 38.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 37.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Beşiktaş Esports | 35c | 32.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Beşiktaş Esports | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Beşiktaş Esports | 67c | 31.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Beşiktaş Esports | 53c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 60c | 16.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 73c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group ABeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.