CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c9f93201cd255ee01f712d3bffc1f1ec32f737c0c2ca0f3a6fbf350958492c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Fake do Biru, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galorys | 69c | 1,300$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Fake do Biru | 30c | 1,222$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.97 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 448.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fake do Biru | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Galorys | 56c | 291.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 236.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Galorys | 40c | 233.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…6875backed Galorys | 73c | 232.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galorys | 63c | 222.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 218$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galorys | 71c | 210.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Galorys | 67c | 209.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 61cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 154.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Galorys | 78c | 153.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 152.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 138.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Galorys | 8c | 132.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Fake do Biru | 43c | 112.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Galorys | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…d717backed Galorys | 67c | 96.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 31c | 93.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fake do Biru | 32c | 87.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Fake do Biru | 43c | 87.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Galorys | 40c | 84.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Galorys | 57c | 81.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru | 56c | 76.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked Galorys | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…5dfbbacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 69.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Galorys | 71c | 49.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Galorys | 65c | 48.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fake do Biru | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Galorys | 40c | 37.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Galorys | 67c | 35.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fake do Biru | 61c | 31.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Fake do Biru | 59c | 30.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Galorys | 39c | 30.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Fake do Biru | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Galorys | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Galorys | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 17.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…4eaabacked Galorys | 74c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.