CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ecba13f5d938b306933c073b1b8bfda92d022a7f2749ce645e9329c324844f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FarmVilleof Reign Above, FarmVille
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Reign Above | 23c | 1,097$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FarmVille | 76c | 733.25$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.95 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed FarmVille | 77c | 585.4$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Reign Above | 9c | 456.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FarmVille | 78c | 383.62$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Reign Above | 5c | 331.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed FarmVille | 79c | 312.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Reign Above | 11c | 283.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Reign Above | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Reign Above | 22c | 139.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Reign Above | 14c | 94.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked FarmVille | 79c | 92.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed FarmVille | 77c | 37.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed FarmVille | 78c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs FarmVille - Map 1 WinnerFarmVille won
- Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs FarmVille - Map 2 WinnerFarmVille won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.