Tennis · resolved market
Livesport Prague Open (Doubles): Martins/Ninomiya vs Kovackova/Kovackova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x485621b479b815954a8be1c32c88f031bdc3589fcd9b13681ccd0e5ad86500fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kovackova/Kovackovaof Martins/Ninomiya, Kovackova/Kovackova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Kovackova/Kovackova | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martins/Ninomiya | 54c | 1,953$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.72 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…ad13backed Kovackova/Kovackova | 61c | 491.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Martins/Ninomiya | 39c | 297.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Martins/Ninomiya | 39c | 181.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Martins/Ninomiya | 10c | 105.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Kovackova/Kovackova | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Kovackova/Kovackova | 57c | 74.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Martins/Ninomiya | 39c | 72.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Kovackova/Kovackova | 58c | 69.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Martins/Ninomiya | 23c | 58.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Martins/Ninomiya | 34c | 48.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Kovackova/Kovackova | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martins/Ninomiya | 75c | 36.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Kovackova/Kovackova | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 325 | 62.5%203 W · 122 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Kovackova/Kovackova | 75c | 26.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martins/Ninomiya | 63c | 20.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.