CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x486f82949c8b86644e8562253af70b07ba23b93394bd13be39798625bd719c18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof JiJieHao, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 535.62$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 394.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed JiJieHao | 54c | 220.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked JiJieHao | 51c | 202.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 164.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked JiJieHao | 46c | 161.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JiJieHao | 49c | 109.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 96.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked JiJieHao | 59c | 88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked JiJieHao | 67c | 79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed JiJieHao | 55c | 69.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JiJieHao | 28c | 64.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed JiJieHao | 61c | 46.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed JiJieHao | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked JiJieHao | 58c | 39.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed JiJieHao | 52c | 33.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked JiJieHao | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked JiJieHao | 49c | 27.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Black Phoenix | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerJiJieHao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.