Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Ryotaro Taguchi vs Isaac Becroft
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48852171f898559094dc4978f9086a3066b9fe81fc72772e1024b745c916d302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryotaro Taguchiof Ryotaro Taguchi, Isaac Becroft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Isaac Becroft | 46c | 21,470$9,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.43 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 55c | 9,421$5,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.93 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 52c | 8,378$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.2 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 57c | 7,179$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.26 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Isaac Becroft | 35c | 1,991$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.41 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Isaac Becroft | 47c | 1,917$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Isaac Becroft | 47c | 666.75$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.17 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 48c | 309.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 61c | 300.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Isaac Becroft | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 532 | 41.5%221 W · 311 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Isaac Becroft | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 23c | 237.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.19 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Isaac Becroft | 54c | 194.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Isaac Becroft | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 254 | 37%94 W · 160 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 52c | 121.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 45c | 112.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 380 | 38.2%145 W · 235 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 52c | 99.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 49c | 88.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Isaac Becroft | 55c | 75.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 54c | 71.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Isaac Becroft | 46c | 68.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Isaac Becroft | 78c | 54.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed Isaac Becroft | 74c | 52.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 46c | 42.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 370 | 65.1%241 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Isaac Becroft | 55c | 34.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 45c | 29.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 49c | 27.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Isaac Becroft | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.