South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x489b47eaeb4b8edc8e6058bd841eae101e44f81e70a7036b5132d092d5811487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 5,054$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 47c | 3,997$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 31c | 2,201$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.67 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 34c | 2,001$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.46 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,151$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 45c | 753.21$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Over | 66c | 746.69$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 67c | 468.69$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 65c | 365.7$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 64c | 311.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 290.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 65c | 251.27$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 233.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 65c | 218.32$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 188.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 64c | 184.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 64c | 171.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 64c | 156.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 64c | 156.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 65c | 71.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 64c | 48.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 64c | 45.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 64c | 39.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed Under | 55c | 34.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 33.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 65c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 46c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 35c | 28.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 64c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 68c | 24.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 52c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
- Spread: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza (-2.5)CA Unión won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.