CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48cefefb4c70813638f416f1f354df39081c0b3453305033184449ae8560885f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Bebop | 35c | 1,563$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.89 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Bebop | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 920.06$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.06 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bebop | 36c | 832.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 638.34$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 36c | 626.08$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bebop | 6c | 570.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 497.23$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 39c | 469.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 339.3$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 331.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 42c | 322.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Bebop | 30c | 235.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 224.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 217.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bebop | 38c | 133.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 123$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 122.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 122.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bebop | 36c | 95.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…6c14backed Bebop | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 26c | 79.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Bebop | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked Bebop | 37c | 67.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bebop | 31c | 61.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 31.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 24.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 20.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebe…3835backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.