South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d734a8ae3667100cb445359011b237ef1bdc224da3e0f3742f37f1fb1a857a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 61c | 555.77$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 328.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 35c | 322.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 274.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 43c | 253.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Yes | 59c | 170.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 157.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 31c | 74.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 59c | 68.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 69c | 24.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 67c | 19.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.