TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: ENJOY (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ENJOYof ENJOY, Julie&cie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc910…8bbcbacked ENJOY73c1,024$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.786744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Julie&cie36c544.87$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.285,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed ENJOY66c225$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.523146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Julie&cie26c220.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5770042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Julie&cie21c174.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6119543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed ENJOY65c169.91$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4760451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Julie&cie18c151.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.331546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+64.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Julie&cie27c132.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7227248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Julie&cie29c79.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2552645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Julie&cie46c75.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.725742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked Julie&cie31c64.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.923654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed ENJOY58c59.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0751348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked ENJOY55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2511345.1%51 W · 62 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Julie&cie36c35.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.611,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked ENJOY67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9544563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.