Europa Conference League · resolved market
Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4939d5aefe5915d199449d2e7686d6e0ea40ed942ceeeb23d9cfd904ee533efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 783.7$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.52 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 749.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 19c | 357.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 289.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.72 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 262.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 59c | 168.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 64c | 150.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 54c | 138.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 90.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 90.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 64c | 86.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 36c | 81.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 65.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 57.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 53c | 42.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 48c | 29.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: O/U 2.5this page
- Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: Helsingin JK O/U 2.5Under won
- Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.