Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4952d408e982f090bf4c128f12fb22ecb5c96328c425a48ca0a5a019a970c973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed L1ga Team | 75c | 3,909$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.49 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 3,666$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.93 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…e8e5backed Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 1,268$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Nemiga Gaming | 11c | 934.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 702.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 643.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed L1ga Team | 76c | 523.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 435.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 421$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 329.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…e530backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 164.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 150.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 101.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…af16backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 71.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed L1ga Team | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.