Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x495635e226f3de06f597dc869d1afd9e3575f0bff35ed1cf1c95fbb2911c03c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 3,520$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 49c | 1,043$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 749.88$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.32 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 45c | 600.55$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 17c | 553.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 505.04$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.47 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 504.08$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.08 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 496.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 18c | 423$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 14c | 387.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 12c | 375.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 12c | 352.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 310.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 307.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 281.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 54c | 196.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 13c | 190.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 56c | 174.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 135.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 62c | 109.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 10c | 106.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 40c | 95.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 23c | 88.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 79c | 83.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 19c | 74.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 53c | 70.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 74c | 69.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 53c | 61.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 53c | 60.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 65c | 60.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 59.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 70c | 59.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 45c | 52.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Yes | 42c | 45.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f39abacked Yes | 76c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 47c | 38.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…2aebbacked No | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 51c | 36.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 44c | 33.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 45c | 30.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 50c | 28.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 52c | 28.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 41c | 24.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 43c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 47c | 22.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 74c | 21.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 64c | 20.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 53c | 20.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Yes | 53c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?No won
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.