CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TNC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49908f52fddda3c8111cc5f5a0dd17d840c6a3585afddabb459ec603060e8cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked SPARTA | 66c | 3,577$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.07 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed TNC | 34c | 2,395$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.05 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed SPARTA | 66c | 1,414$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.69 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked TNC | 34c | 1,372$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.43 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 66c | 1,222$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked TNC | 33c | 1,007$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.96 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNC | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SPARTA | 66c | 676.76$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed SPARTA | 66c | 639$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TNC | 3c | 509.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TNC | 33c | 385.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222f…f496backed TNC | 33c | 363.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed SPARTA | 66c | 352.61$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked TNC | 32c | 330.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked SPARTA | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed TNC | 34c | 294$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed TNC | 36c | 277.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TNC | 33c | 260.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked TNC | 34c | 206$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed TNC | 34c | 174.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed TNC | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked TNC | 35c | 143.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed TNC | 34c | 141.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SPARTA | 66c | 128.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed TNC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked TNC | 34c | 92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TNC | 32c | 91.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TNC | 29c | 88.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked SPARTA | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed SPARTA | 67c | 74.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed TNC | 33c | 64.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked TNC | 36c | 55.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed SPARTA | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed TNC | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed SPARTA | 68c | 20.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked SPARTA | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed SPARTA | 66c | 19.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TNC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.