Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49bbb7975c06c7ba2ec2c1383bb30a211f5235428e7aeb03f34c12bca7d76519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Two Moveof Enjoy, Two Move
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Two Move | 48c | 1,215$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.59 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Two Move | 44c | 767.98$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.07 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Enjoy | 72c | 693.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Enjoy | 53c | 617.92$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.75 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Two Move | 48c | 579.01$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Enjoy | 57c | 479.08$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Two Move | 76c | 464.37$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Enjoy | 50c | 408.73$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.37 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Enjoy | 58c | 305.73$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Two Move | 52c | 255.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Two Move | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Enjoy | 35c | 230$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Enjoy | 50c | 218.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Two Move | 9c | 207.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Enjoy | 60c | 177.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Two Move | 45c | 158.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Two Move | 51c | 155.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Two Move | 44c | 153$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Enjoy | 56c | 153$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Enjoy | 50c | 148.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Enjoy | 49c | 146.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Enjoy | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Enjoy | 55c | 138.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Enjoy | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Enjoy | 65c | 122.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Two Move | 61c | 105.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Enjoy | 30c | 100.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Two Move | 41c | 85.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Two Move | 37c | 85.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Enjoy | 61c | 79.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Enjoy | 55c | 41.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Enjoy | 38c | 38.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Enjoy | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Two Move | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…525abacked Enjoy | 58c | 33.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Two Move | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Two Move | 37c | 30.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…c353backed Two Move | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Enjoy | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Enjoy | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…963ebacked Enjoy | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…4d58backed Enjoy | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Enjoy | 43c | 24.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Enjoy | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Two Move | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Two Move - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Two Move (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTwo Move won
- Dota 2: Enjoy vs Two Move - Game 1 WinnerTwo Move won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.