CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49d9c315148a9ec50a6555d083addb7a881a0f2b51b0ba1b6d11da4f97bebc55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof Lavked, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 39c | 453.28$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.93 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 17c | 328.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Lavked | 61c | 278.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 Ares | 71c | 268.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lavked | 8c | 207.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lavked | 24c | 198.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Ares | 71c | 198.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 63c | 131.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Lavked | 58c | 101.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 Ares | 41c | 86.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Lavked | 15c | 68.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lavked | 62c | 56.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed G2 Ares | 34c | 54.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Lavked | 45c | 52.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Lavked | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Lavked | 66c | 49.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed G2 Ares | 58c | 42.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 37.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…b857backed G2 Ares | 56c | 35.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 72c | 34.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Lavked | 57c | 34.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Lavked | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed G2 Ares | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.