Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49e9815d0edd5910671958a0545209e74a1d362559150fa116a8950d2862f0ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC CFR 1907 Clujof FC CFR 1907 Cluj, Alashkert FA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 48c | 1,500$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alashkert FA | 51c | 1,321$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Alashkert FA | 53c | 169.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 15c | 158.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 15c | 69.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 59c | 40.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Alashkert FA | 51c | 21.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-2.5)this page
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: Alashkert FA O/U 1.5Under won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: Team to AdvanceFC CFR 1907 Cluj won
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5)FC CFR 1907 Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.