Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33372f7a14e7a8474c65bbce6bcc7f931e0f412f689879812cabe7e72829c91d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC CFR 1907 Clujof FC CFR 1907 Cluj, Alashkert FA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alashkert FA | 24c | 1,162$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.57 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 34c | 881.87$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.1 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alashkert FA | 66c | 835$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.1 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 70c | 672.51$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 33c | 482$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.94 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alashkert FA | 67c | 360$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alashkert FA | 63c | 98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 34c | 97.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 39c | 86.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 37c | 84.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Alashkert FA | 67c | 83.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Alashkert FA | 67c | 66.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Alashkert FA | 64c | 47.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 70c | 38.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Alashkert FA | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 70c | 28.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Alashkert FA | 63c | 28.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Alashkert FA | 61c | 27.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Alashkert FA | 67c | 24.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Alashkert FA | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5)this page
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: Alashkert FA O/U 1.5Under won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Alashkert FA: Team to AdvanceFC CFR 1907 Cluj won
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-2.5)FC CFR 1907 Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.